{ "metadata": { "operation": "tp4", "operation_name": "Operation True Promise 4", "operation_name_farsi": "عملیات وعده صادق ۴", "version": "2.1", "wave_count": 19, "date_range": { "start": "2026-02-28", "end": "2026-03-05" }, "canonical_format": "json", "source_csv_columns": 75, "countries_targeted": [ "AE", "BH", "CY", "IL", "IO", "IQ", "JO", "KW", "OM", "QA", "SA", "TR" ] }, "waves": [ { "operation": "tp4", "wave_number": 1, "wave_codename_farsi": null, "wave_codename_english": null, "timing": { "announced_utc": "2026-02-28T18:30:00Z", "announcement_source": "IRGC", "announcement_x_url": null, "probable_launch_time": "2026-02-28T18:00:00Z", "launch_time_israel": "2026-02-28T20:00:00+0200", "launch_time_iran": "2026-02-28T21:30:00+0330", "solar_phase_launch_site": 0, "solar_phase_target": 0, "conflict_day": 1, "hours_since_last_wave": null, "time_between_waves_minutes": 35.01, "wave_duration_minutes": null }, "weapons": { "payload": "Emad and Ghadr ballistic missiles, Shahed-136 drones", "drones_used": true, "ballistic_missiles_used": true, "cruise_missiles_used": false, "types": { "emad_used": true, "ghadr_used": true, "sejjil_used": false, "kheibar_shekan_used": false, "fattah_used": false, "shahed_136_used": true, "shahed_238_used": false, "shahed_131_used": true, "shahed_107_used": null, "shahed_129_used": null, "mohajer_6_used": null }, "categories": { "bm_liquid_fueled": true, "bm_solid_fueled": false, "bm_marv_equipped": false, "bm_hypersonic": false } }, "targets": { "israel_targeted": true, "us_bases_targeted": true, "targets": "Nevatim airbase, Tel Aviv, US military facilities in Persian Gulf; USN Fifth Fleet HQ Bahrain; Port Jebel Ali UAE; Duqm port Oman (2 drones, 1 injured); Tankers off Oman coast", "landings_countries": [ "IL", "IQ", "BH", "AE", "QA", "JO", "OM" ], "israeli_locations": { "targeted_tel_aviv": true, "targeted_jerusalem": false, "targeted_haifa": false, "targeted_negev_beersheba": true, "targeted_northern_periphery": false, "targeted_eilat": false }, "us_bases": [ { "name": "Mina Salman Naval Base", "country_code": "BH" } ], "us_naval_vessels": [], "target_coordinates": { "lat": 31.07, "lon": null } }, "launch_site": { "description": "Multiple sites in western Iran including Kermanshah and Tabriz regions", "lat": 34.31, "lon": 47.07 }, "interception": { "intercepted": true, "interception_systems": [ "Arrow-2", "Arrow-3", "Iron Dome", "SM-3", "THAAD", "Patriot" ], "intercepted_by": { "israel": true, "us": true, "uk": true, "jordan": true, "other": [ "France", "UAE" ] }, "estimated_intercept_count": null, "estimated_intercept_rate": null, "exoatmospheric_interception": true, "endoatmospheric_interception": true, "interception_report": "Multi-layered coalition defense. US Navy destroyers engaged with SM-3. Arrow-3 exoatmospheric intercepts. Allied jets intercepted drones over Iraq/Jordan." }, "munitions": { "estimated_munitions_count": null, "munitions_targeting_israel": null, "munitions_targeting_us_bases": null, "cumulative_total": null }, "impact": { "damage": "Impacts reported in Tel Aviv (1 fatality, 21 injuries) and Bnei Brak (several injuries). Damage to US facilities in Gulf region.", "fatalities": 1, "injuries": null, "civilian_casualties": null, "military_casualties": 1 }, "escalation": { "new_country_targeted": true, "new_weapon_first_use": true }, "proxy": { "involvement": false, "description": null }, "sources": { "idf_statement": "IDF reports high interception rate in coordination with allies; minor damage to one base", "urls": [] }, "description": "First wave of Operation True Promise 4; large-scale coordinated attack with drones to saturate defenses followed by ballistic missiles. Launched hours after US-Israeli Operation Epic Fury/Roaring Lion strikes on Iran.", "reactions": { "idf": { "statement": null, "url": null }, "us_government": { "statement": null, "url": null }, "centcom": { "statement": null, "url": null } } }, { "operation": "tp4", "wave_number": 2, "wave_codename_farsi": null, "wave_codename_english": null, "timing": { "announced_utc": "2026-02-28T21:00:00Z", "announcement_source": "IRGC", "announcement_x_url": null, "probable_launch_time": "2026-02-28T20:30:00Z", "launch_time_israel": "2026-02-28T22:30:00+0200", "launch_time_iran": "2026-03-01T00:00:00+0330", "solar_phase_launch_site": 0, "solar_phase_target": 0, "conflict_day": 1, "hours_since_last_wave": 2.5, "time_between_waves_minutes": null, "wave_duration_minutes": null }, "weapons": { "payload": "Ballistic missiles, Shahed-136 drones", "drones_used": true, "ballistic_missiles_used": true, "cruise_missiles_used": false, "types": { "emad_used": true, "ghadr_used": true, "sejjil_used": false, "kheibar_shekan_used": false, "fattah_used": false, "shahed_136_used": true, "shahed_238_used": false, "shahed_131_used": true, "shahed_107_used": null, "shahed_129_used": null, "mohajer_6_used": null }, "categories": { "bm_liquid_fueled": true, "bm_solid_fueled": false, "bm_marv_equipped": false, "bm_hypersonic": false } }, "targets": { "israel_targeted": true, "us_bases_targeted": true, "targets": "Tel Aviv, US bases in Iraq", "landings_countries": [ "IL", "IQ" ], "israeli_locations": { "targeted_tel_aviv": true, "targeted_jerusalem": false, "targeted_haifa": false, "targeted_negev_beersheba": false, "targeted_northern_periphery": false, "targeted_eilat": false }, "us_bases": [], "us_naval_vessels": [], "target_coordinates": { "lat": null, "lon": null } }, "launch_site": { "description": "Western Iran", "lat": 34.31, "lon": 47.07 }, "interception": { "intercepted": true, "interception_systems": [ "Arrow-2", "Arrow-3", "Iron Dome", "Patriot" ], "intercepted_by": { "israel": true, "us": true, "uk": false, "jordan": false, "other": [] }, "estimated_intercept_count": null, "estimated_intercept_rate": null, "exoatmospheric_interception": true, "endoatmospheric_interception": true, "interception_report": null }, "munitions": { "estimated_munitions_count": null, "munitions_targeting_israel": null, "munitions_targeting_us_bases": null, "cumulative_total": null }, "impact": { "damage": null, "fatalities": 0, "injuries": 0, "civilian_casualties": null, "military_casualties": null }, "escalation": { "new_country_targeted": false, "new_weapon_first_use": false }, "proxy": { "involvement": false, "description": null }, "sources": { "idf_statement": null, "urls": [ "https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2026/02/28/764843/irgc-launches-new-waves-true-promise-pummeling-occupied-territories" ] }, "description": "Second wave continuing initial retaliatory barrage on Feb 28; 2-4 missiles per salvo pattern observed.", "reactions": { "idf": { "statement": null, "url": null }, "us_government": { "statement": null, "url": null }, "centcom": { "statement": null, "url": null } } }, { "operation": "tp4", "wave_number": 3, "wave_codename_farsi": null, "wave_codename_english": null, "timing": { "announced_utc": "2026-02-28T23:45:00Z", "announcement_source": "IRGC", "announcement_x_url": null, "probable_launch_time": "2026-02-28T23:30:00Z", "launch_time_israel": "2026-03-01T01:30:00+0200", "launch_time_iran": "2026-03-01T03:00:00+0330", "solar_phase_launch_site": 0, "solar_phase_target": 0, "conflict_day": 2, "hours_since_last_wave": 3.0, "time_between_waves_minutes": null, "wave_duration_minutes": null }, "weapons": { "payload": "Advanced ballistic missiles, drones, cruise missiles", "drones_used": true, "ballistic_missiles_used": true, "cruise_missiles_used": true, "types": { "emad_used": false, "ghadr_used": false, "sejjil_used": false, "kheibar_shekan_used": false, "fattah_used": false, "shahed_136_used": true, "shahed_238_used": false, "shahed_131_used": true, "shahed_107_used": null, "shahed_129_used": null, "mohajer_6_used": null }, "categories": { "bm_liquid_fueled": false, "bm_solid_fueled": false, "bm_marv_equipped": false, "bm_hypersonic": false } }, "targets": { "israel_targeted": true, "us_bases_targeted": true, "targets": "Israeli naval base in Haifa, warship dock in Haifa, Ramat David Air Base, HaKirya (Ministry of War) Tel Aviv, Abdullah Al-Mubarak Air Base Kuwait, Harir base Iraq, Prince Sultan Air Base Saudi Arabia; Crowne Plaza Hotel Manama Bahrain; Etihad Towers Abu Dhabi (drone intercepted, debris damage); French base Camp de la Paix Abu Dhabi; Al-Salam Naval Base Abu Dhabi; Saudi oil refinery", "landings_countries": [ "IL", "KW", "IQ", "SA", "BH", "AE", "JO" ], "israeli_locations": { "targeted_tel_aviv": true, "targeted_jerusalem": false, "targeted_haifa": true, "targeted_negev_beersheba": false, "targeted_northern_periphery": true, "targeted_eilat": false }, "us_bases": [ { "name": "Abdullah Al-Mubarak Air Base", "country_code": "KW" }, { "name": "Harir Air Base", "country_code": "IQ" } ], "us_naval_vessels": [], "target_coordinates": { "lat": null, "lon": null } }, "launch_site": { "description": "Western and southwestern Iran", "lat": 34.31, "lon": 47.07 }, "interception": { "intercepted": true, "interception_systems": [ "Arrow-2", "Iron Dome", "Patriot" ], "intercepted_by": { "israel": true, "us": true, "uk": false, "jordan": false, "other": [] }, "estimated_intercept_count": null, "estimated_intercept_rate": null, "exoatmospheric_interception": false, "endoatmospheric_interception": true, "interception_report": null }, "munitions": { "estimated_munitions_count": 35, "munitions_targeting_israel": null, "munitions_targeting_us_bases": null, "cumulative_total": 35 }, "impact": { "damage": "Abdullah Al-Mubarak Air Base in Kuwait reportedly disabled. Damage to Harir base in Iraq.", "fatalities": 0, "injuries": null, "civilian_casualties": null, "military_casualties": null }, "escalation": { "new_country_targeted": true, "new_weapon_first_use": true }, "proxy": { "involvement": false, "description": null }, "sources": { "idf_statement": null, "urls": [] }, "description": "Third wave; IRGC announced using more advanced missiles than True Promise 3. Expanded targeting to Gulf logistics infrastructure.", "reactions": { "idf": { "statement": null, "url": null }, "us_government": { "statement": null, "url": null }, "centcom": { "statement": null, "url": null } } }, { "operation": "tp4", "wave_number": 4, "wave_codename_farsi": null, "wave_codename_english": null, "timing": { "announced_utc": "2026-03-01T01:00:00Z", "announcement_source": "IRGC", "announcement_x_url": null, "probable_launch_time": "2026-03-01T00:45:00Z", "launch_time_israel": "2026-03-01T02:45:00+0200", "launch_time_iran": "2026-03-01T04:15:00+0330", "solar_phase_launch_site": 0, "solar_phase_target": 0, "conflict_day": 2, "hours_since_last_wave": 1.2, "time_between_waves_minutes": null, "wave_duration_minutes": null }, "weapons": { "payload": "Ballistic missiles, drones", "drones_used": true, "ballistic_missiles_used": true, "cruise_missiles_used": false, "types": { "emad_used": false, "ghadr_used": false, "sejjil_used": false, "kheibar_shekan_used": false, "fattah_used": false, "shahed_136_used": true, "shahed_238_used": false, "shahed_131_used": true, "shahed_107_used": null, "shahed_129_used": null, "mohajer_6_used": null }, "categories": { "bm_liquid_fueled": false, "bm_solid_fueled": false, "bm_marv_equipped": false, "bm_hypersonic": false } }, "targets": { "israel_targeted": true, "us_bases_targeted": true, "targets": "Beit Shams military-industrial complex, Ishtod military-industrial complex, US bases in Kuwait and Iraq", "landings_countries": [ "IL", "KW", "IQ" ], "israeli_locations": { "targeted_tel_aviv": true, "targeted_jerusalem": false, "targeted_haifa": false, "targeted_negev_beersheba": true, "targeted_northern_periphery": false, "targeted_eilat": false }, "us_bases": [], "us_naval_vessels": [], "target_coordinates": { "lat": null, "lon": null } }, "launch_site": { "description": "Western Iran", "lat": 34.31, "lon": 47.07 }, "interception": { "intercepted": true, "interception_systems": [ "Arrow-2", "Iron Dome", "Patriot" ], "intercepted_by": { "israel": true, "us": true, "uk": false, "jordan": false, "other": [] }, "estimated_intercept_count": null, "estimated_intercept_rate": null, "exoatmospheric_interception": false, "endoatmospheric_interception": true, "interception_report": null }, "munitions": { "estimated_munitions_count": null, "munitions_targeting_israel": null, "munitions_targeting_us_bases": null, "cumulative_total": 35 }, "impact": { "damage": "Continued strikes on Gulf and Israeli targets", "fatalities": 0, "injuries": null, "civilian_casualties": null, "military_casualties": null }, "escalation": { "new_country_targeted": false, "new_weapon_first_use": false }, "proxy": { "involvement": false, "description": null }, "sources": { "idf_statement": null, "urls": [ "https://en.irna.ir/news/86089924/Third-and-fourth-waves-of-True-Promise-4-underway-IRGC", "https://www.bernama.com/en/world/news.php?id=2528973" ] }, "description": "Fourth wave; continued expansion of targeting to military-industrial sites in Israel and Gulf bases.", "reactions": { "idf": { "statement": null, "url": null }, "us_government": { "statement": null, "url": null }, "centcom": { "statement": null, "url": null } } }, { "operation": "tp4", "wave_number": 5, "wave_codename_farsi": null, "wave_codename_english": null, "timing": { "announced_utc": "2026-03-01T04:00:00Z", "announcement_source": "IRGC", "announcement_x_url": null, "probable_launch_time": "2026-03-01T03:30:00Z", "launch_time_israel": "2026-03-01T05:30:00+0200", "launch_time_iran": "2026-03-01T07:00:00+0330", "solar_phase_launch_site": 4, "solar_phase_target": 2, "conflict_day": 2, "hours_since_last_wave": 2.8, "time_between_waves_minutes": null, "wave_duration_minutes": null }, "weapons": { "payload": "Ballistic missiles, drones, cruise missiles", "drones_used": true, "ballistic_missiles_used": true, "cruise_missiles_used": true, "types": { "emad_used": false, "ghadr_used": false, "sejjil_used": false, "kheibar_shekan_used": false, "fattah_used": false, "shahed_136_used": true, "shahed_238_used": false, "shahed_131_used": true, "shahed_107_used": null, "shahed_129_used": null, "mohajer_6_used": null }, "categories": { "bm_liquid_fueled": false, "bm_solid_fueled": false, "bm_marv_equipped": false, "bm_hypersonic": false } }, "targets": { "israel_targeted": false, "us_bases_targeted": true, "targets": "American vessels in Indian Ocean, Abdullah Mubarak naval base Kuwait; Two missiles fired towards British bases on Cyprus (denied by Cyprus MoD)", "landings_countries": [ "KW", "IO", "CY" ], "israeli_locations": { "targeted_tel_aviv": false, "targeted_jerusalem": false, "targeted_haifa": false, "targeted_negev_beersheba": false, "targeted_northern_periphery": false, "targeted_eilat": false }, "us_bases": [ { "name": "Abdullah Al-Mubarak Air Base", "country_code": "KW" } ], "us_naval_vessels": [], "target_coordinates": { "lat": null, "lon": null } }, "launch_site": { "description": "Western Iran, IRGC naval positions", "lat": null, "lon": null }, "interception": { "intercepted": null, "interception_systems": [], "intercepted_by": { "israel": null, "us": false, "uk": true, "jordan": false, "other": [] }, "estimated_intercept_count": null, "estimated_intercept_rate": null, "exoatmospheric_interception": null, "endoatmospheric_interception": false, "interception_report": null }, "munitions": { "estimated_munitions_count": null, "munitions_targeting_israel": null, "munitions_targeting_us_bases": null, "cumulative_total": null }, "impact": { "damage": "IRGC claims strikes on American vessels and Abdullah Mubarak naval base in Kuwait. Oil tanker reportedly struck in Indian Ocean.", "fatalities": 0, "injuries": null, "civilian_casualties": null, "military_casualties": null }, "escalation": { "new_country_targeted": true, "new_weapon_first_use": false }, "proxy": { "involvement": false, "description": null }, "sources": { "idf_statement": null, "urls": [] }, "description": "Fifth wave; shift to maritime and Gulf targets. IRGC Navy involvement. MSP and MST logistics vessels in Indian Ocean reportedly struck (unverified).", "reactions": { "idf": { "statement": null, "url": null }, "us_government": { "statement": null, "url": null }, "centcom": { "statement": null, "url": null } } }, { "operation": "tp4", "wave_number": 6, "wave_codename_farsi": null, "wave_codename_english": null, "timing": { "announced_utc": "2026-03-01T08:00:00Z", "announcement_source": "IRGC", "announcement_x_url": null, "probable_launch_time": "2026-03-01T07:30:00Z", "launch_time_israel": "2026-03-01T09:30:00+0200", "launch_time_iran": "2026-03-01T11:00:00+0330", "solar_phase_launch_site": 5, "solar_phase_target": 5, "conflict_day": 2, "hours_since_last_wave": 4.0, "time_between_waves_minutes": null, "wave_duration_minutes": null }, "weapons": { "payload": "Ballistic missiles, drones", "drones_used": true, "ballistic_missiles_used": true, "cruise_missiles_used": false, "types": { "emad_used": false, "ghadr_used": false, "sejjil_used": false, "kheibar_shekan_used": false, "fattah_used": false, "shahed_136_used": true, "shahed_238_used": false, "shahed_131_used": true, "shahed_107_used": null, "shahed_129_used": null, "mohajer_6_used": null }, "categories": { "bm_liquid_fueled": false, "bm_solid_fueled": false, "bm_marv_equipped": false, "bm_hypersonic": false } }, "targets": { "israel_targeted": true, "us_bases_targeted": false, "targets": "Tel Nof Air Base, HaKirya headquarters (Israeli Defense Ministry/military command) Tel Aviv, Israeli Navy base Haifa, Haifa military naval yard", "landings_countries": [ "IL" ], "israeli_locations": { "targeted_tel_aviv": true, "targeted_jerusalem": false, "targeted_haifa": true, "targeted_negev_beersheba": false, "targeted_northern_periphery": false, "targeted_eilat": false }, "us_bases": [], "us_naval_vessels": [], "target_coordinates": { "lat": null, "lon": null } }, "launch_site": { "description": "Western Iran", "lat": 34.31, "lon": 47.07 }, "interception": { "intercepted": true, "interception_systems": [ "Arrow-2", "Arrow-3", "David's Sling", "Iron Dome" ], "intercepted_by": { "israel": true, "us": true, "uk": false, "jordan": false, "other": [] }, "estimated_intercept_count": null, "estimated_intercept_rate": null, "exoatmospheric_interception": true, "endoatmospheric_interception": true, "interception_report": null }, "munitions": { "estimated_munitions_count": null, "munitions_targeting_israel": null, "munitions_targeting_us_bases": null, "cumulative_total": 35 }, "impact": { "damage": "IRGC claims hits on Tel Nof Air Base, HaKirya HQ, and Haifa naval installations", "fatalities": 0, "injuries": 0, "civilian_casualties": null, "military_casualties": null }, "escalation": { "new_country_targeted": false, "new_weapon_first_use": false }, "proxy": { "involvement": false, "description": null }, "sources": { "idf_statement": null, "urls": [ "https://english.almayadeen.net/news/politics/irgc-launches-sixth-wave-of-true-promise-4--retaliation-cont" ] }, "description": "Sixth wave; escalation to targeting Israeli political-military command infrastructure in dense urban Tel Aviv. IRGC signaling ability to strike leadership centers.", "reactions": { "idf": { "statement": null, "url": null }, "us_government": { "statement": null, "url": null }, "centcom": { "statement": null, "url": null } } }, { "operation": "tp4", "wave_number": 7, "wave_codename_farsi": null, "wave_codename_english": null, "timing": { "announced_utc": "2026-03-01T14:00:00Z", "announcement_source": "IRGC / Tasnim News Agency", "announcement_x_url": null, "probable_launch_time": "2026-03-01T13:30:00Z", "launch_time_israel": "2026-03-01T15:30:00+0200", "launch_time_iran": "2026-03-01T17:00:00+0330", "solar_phase_launch_site": 5, "solar_phase_target": 5, "conflict_day": 2, "hours_since_last_wave": 6.0, "time_between_waves_minutes": null, "wave_duration_minutes": null }, "weapons": { "payload": "Ballistic missiles, drones, cruise missiles", "drones_used": true, "ballistic_missiles_used": true, "cruise_missiles_used": true, "types": { "emad_used": false, "ghadr_used": false, "sejjil_used": false, "kheibar_shekan_used": false, "fattah_used": false, "shahed_136_used": true, "shahed_238_used": false, "shahed_131_used": true, "shahed_107_used": null, "shahed_129_used": null, "mohajer_6_used": null }, "categories": { "bm_liquid_fueled": false, "bm_solid_fueled": false, "bm_marv_equipped": false, "bm_hypersonic": false } }, "targets": { "israel_targeted": true, "us_bases_targeted": true, "targets": "US/British oil tankers in Persian Gulf/Strait of Hormuz, Ali Al-Salem naval base Kuwait, Mohammed Al-Ahmad Naval Base Kuwait, Mina Salman US naval base Bahrain, USS Abraham Lincoln; Prince Sultan Airbase and King Khalid International Airport Saudi Arabia (intercepted); AWS data center UAE", "landings_countries": [ "IL", "KW", "BH", "IO", "SA", "AE" ], "israeli_locations": { "targeted_tel_aviv": false, "targeted_jerusalem": false, "targeted_haifa": false, "targeted_negev_beersheba": false, "targeted_northern_periphery": false, "targeted_eilat": false }, "us_bases": [ { "name": "Ali Al-Salem Air Base", "country_code": "KW" }, { "name": "Mohammed Al-Ahmad Naval Base", "country_code": "KW" }, { "name": "Mina Salman Naval Base", "country_code": "BH" } ], "us_naval_vessels": [ { "name": "USS Abraham Lincoln", "type": "Aircraft carrier (CVN-72)" } ], "target_coordinates": { "lat": null, "lon": null } }, "launch_site": { "description": "Western Iran, IRGC naval positions", "lat": null, "lon": null }, "interception": { "intercepted": null, "interception_systems": [], "intercepted_by": { "israel": null, "us": false, "uk": true, "jordan": false, "other": [] }, "estimated_intercept_count": null, "estimated_intercept_rate": null, "exoatmospheric_interception": null, "endoatmospheric_interception": false, "interception_report": null }, "munitions": { "estimated_munitions_count": null, "munitions_targeting_israel": null, "munitions_targeting_us_bases": null, "cumulative_total": null }, "impact": { "damage": "Three US/British oil tankers in Persian Gulf struck and reportedly engulfed in fire. Ali Al-Salem naval base Kuwait shut down. Heavy damage to US base in Bahrain.", "fatalities": 0, "injuries": null, "civilian_casualties": null, "military_casualties": null }, "escalation": { "new_country_targeted": true, "new_weapon_first_use": false }, "proxy": { "involvement": false, "description": null }, "sources": { "idf_statement": null, "urls": [] }, "description": "Seventh wave; massive expansion to maritime targets. IRGC claims 4 ballistic missiles fired at USS Abraham Lincoln carrier. Three oil tankers struck. Major Gulf base attacks.", "reactions": { "idf": { "statement": null, "url": null }, "us_government": { "statement": null, "url": null }, "centcom": { "statement": null, "url": null } } }, { "operation": "tp4", "wave_number": 8, "wave_codename_farsi": null, "wave_codename_english": null, "timing": { "announced_utc": "2026-03-01T18:00:00Z", "announcement_source": "IRGC / Tasnim News Agency", "announcement_x_url": null, "probable_launch_time": "2026-03-01T17:30:00Z", "launch_time_israel": "2026-03-01T19:30:00+0200", "launch_time_iran": "2026-03-01T21:00:00+0330", "solar_phase_launch_site": 0, "solar_phase_target": 0, "conflict_day": 2, "hours_since_last_wave": 4.0, "time_between_waves_minutes": null, "wave_duration_minutes": null }, "weapons": { "payload": "Ballistic missiles, drones", "drones_used": true, "ballistic_missiles_used": true, "cruise_missiles_used": false, "types": { "emad_used": false, "ghadr_used": false, "sejjil_used": false, "kheibar_shekan_used": false, "fattah_used": false, "shahed_136_used": true, "shahed_238_used": false, "shahed_131_used": true, "shahed_107_used": null, "shahed_129_used": null, "mohajer_6_used": null }, "categories": { "bm_liquid_fueled": false, "bm_solid_fueled": false, "bm_marv_equipped": false, "bm_hypersonic": false } }, "targets": { "israel_targeted": true, "us_bases_targeted": true, "targets": "Continued strikes on American and Israeli targets, regional US bases", "landings_countries": [ "IL", "KW", "BH" ], "israeli_locations": { "targeted_tel_aviv": false, "targeted_jerusalem": false, "targeted_haifa": false, "targeted_negev_beersheba": false, "targeted_northern_periphery": false, "targeted_eilat": false }, "us_bases": [], "us_naval_vessels": [], "target_coordinates": { "lat": null, "lon": null } }, "launch_site": { "description": "Western Iran", "lat": null, "lon": null }, "interception": { "intercepted": null, "interception_systems": [], "intercepted_by": { "israel": null, "us": true, "uk": true, "jordan": false, "other": [] }, "estimated_intercept_count": null, "estimated_intercept_rate": null, "exoatmospheric_interception": null, "endoatmospheric_interception": false, "interception_report": null }, "munitions": { "estimated_munitions_count": null, "munitions_targeting_israel": null, "munitions_targeting_us_bases": null, "cumulative_total": null }, "impact": { "damage": "IRGC claims 560 US military killed/wounded across waves 7-8 (unverified). Continued tanker fires.", "fatalities": 0, "injuries": null, "civilian_casualties": null, "military_casualties": null }, "escalation": { "new_country_targeted": false, "new_weapon_first_use": false }, "proxy": { "involvement": false, "description": null }, "sources": { "idf_statement": null, "urls": [] }, "description": "Eighth wave; continuation of wave 7 operations. IRGC claims massive US casualties (560 killed/wounded - unverified). Large-scale drone deployments.", "reactions": { "idf": { "statement": null, "url": null }, "us_government": { "statement": null, "url": null }, "centcom": { "statement": null, "url": null } } }, { "operation": "tp4", "wave_number": 9, "wave_codename_farsi": null, "wave_codename_english": null, "timing": { "announced_utc": "2026-03-01T22:00:00Z", "announcement_source": "IRGC", "announcement_x_url": null, "probable_launch_time": "2026-03-01T21:30:00Z", "launch_time_israel": "2026-03-01T23:30:00+0200", "launch_time_iran": "2026-03-02T01:00:00+0330", "solar_phase_launch_site": 0, "solar_phase_target": 0, "conflict_day": 2, "hours_since_last_wave": 4.0, "time_between_waves_minutes": null, "wave_duration_minutes": null }, "weapons": { "payload": "Ballistic missiles, drones", "drones_used": true, "ballistic_missiles_used": true, "cruise_missiles_used": false, "types": { "emad_used": false, "ghadr_used": false, "sejjil_used": false, "kheibar_shekan_used": false, "fattah_used": false, "shahed_136_used": true, "shahed_238_used": false, "shahed_131_used": true, "shahed_107_used": null, "shahed_129_used": null, "mohajer_6_used": null }, "categories": { "bm_liquid_fueled": false, "bm_solid_fueled": false, "bm_marv_equipped": false, "bm_hypersonic": false } }, "targets": { "israel_targeted": true, "us_bases_targeted": true, "targets": "US naval assets, Israeli defense systems, drones across multiple regions; RAF Akrotiri Cyprus (1 drone hit airfield, 5 intercepted, minor damage)", "landings_countries": [ "IL", "KW", "BH", "QA", "CY" ], "israeli_locations": { "targeted_tel_aviv": true, "targeted_jerusalem": false, "targeted_haifa": false, "targeted_negev_beersheba": false, "targeted_northern_periphery": false, "targeted_eilat": false }, "us_bases": [], "us_naval_vessels": [], "target_coordinates": { "lat": null, "lon": null } }, "launch_site": { "description": "Western Iran", "lat": null, "lon": null }, "interception": { "intercepted": null, "interception_systems": [], "intercepted_by": { "israel": null, "us": true, "uk": true, "jordan": false, "other": [] }, "estimated_intercept_count": null, "estimated_intercept_rate": null, "exoatmospheric_interception": null, "endoatmospheric_interception": true, "interception_report": null }, "munitions": { "estimated_munitions_count": null, "munitions_targeting_israel": null, "munitions_targeting_us_bases": null, "cumulative_total": null }, "impact": { "damage": "IRGC claims strikes on 60 strategic targets and 500 combined US/Israeli sites since operation start. Cluster munition warhead strike near Tel Aviv injured 12.", "fatalities": 0, "injuries": 12, "civilian_casualties": null, "military_casualties": null }, "escalation": { "new_country_targeted": true, "new_weapon_first_use": false }, "proxy": { "involvement": false, "description": null }, "sources": { "idf_statement": null, "urls": [ "https://english.almayadeen.net/news/politics/irgc-launches-ninth-wave-of-operation-true-promise-4", "https://news-pravda.com/usa/2026/03/01/2113467.html" ] }, "description": "Ninth wave; IRGC claims 700+ drones and hundreds of missiles launched since operation began. Cluster munition warhead used against Tel Aviv area (12 injuries).", "reactions": { "idf": { "statement": null, "url": null }, "us_government": { "statement": null, "url": null }, "centcom": { "statement": null, "url": null } } }, { "operation": "tp4", "wave_number": 10, "wave_codename_farsi": null, "wave_codename_english": null, "timing": { "announced_utc": "2026-03-02T04:00:00Z", "announcement_source": "IRGC", "announcement_x_url": null, "probable_launch_time": "2026-03-02T03:30:00Z", "launch_time_israel": "2026-03-02T05:30:00+0200", "launch_time_iran": "2026-03-02T07:00:00+0330", "solar_phase_launch_site": 4, "solar_phase_target": 2, "conflict_day": 3, "hours_since_last_wave": 6.0, "time_between_waves_minutes": 34.78, "wave_duration_minutes": null }, "weapons": { "payload": "Kheibar Shekan maneuvering ballistic missiles", "drones_used": false, "ballistic_missiles_used": true, "cruise_missiles_used": false, "types": { "emad_used": false, "ghadr_used": false, "sejjil_used": false, "kheibar_shekan_used": true, "fattah_used": false, "shahed_136_used": false, "shahed_238_used": false, "shahed_131_used": null, "shahed_107_used": null, "shahed_129_used": null, "mohajer_6_used": null }, "categories": { "bm_liquid_fueled": false, "bm_solid_fueled": true, "bm_marv_equipped": true, "bm_hypersonic": false } }, "targets": { "israel_targeted": true, "us_bases_targeted": false, "targets": "Israeli government complex Tel Aviv, military/security centers Haifa, East Jerusalem", "landings_countries": [ "IL" ], "israeli_locations": { "targeted_tel_aviv": true, "targeted_jerusalem": true, "targeted_haifa": true, "targeted_negev_beersheba": true, "targeted_northern_periphery": false, "targeted_eilat": false }, "us_bases": [], "us_naval_vessels": [], "target_coordinates": { "lat": 32.09, "lon": null } }, "launch_site": { "description": "Central Iran", "lat": null, "lon": null }, "interception": { "intercepted": null, "interception_systems": [], "intercepted_by": { "israel": null, "us": true, "uk": true, "jordan": false, "other": [] }, "estimated_intercept_count": null, "estimated_intercept_rate": null, "exoatmospheric_interception": null, "endoatmospheric_interception": true, "interception_report": null }, "munitions": { "estimated_munitions_count": null, "munitions_targeting_israel": null, "munitions_targeting_us_bases": null, "cumulative_total": null }, "impact": { "damage": "IRGC claims hits on Israeli government complex in Tel Aviv, military/security centers in Haifa, and East Jerusalem. Strike in Beersheba injured at least 10.", "fatalities": 0, "injuries": null, "civilian_casualties": null, "military_casualties": null }, "escalation": { "new_country_targeted": false, "new_weapon_first_use": true }, "proxy": { "involvement": false, "description": null }, "sources": { "idf_statement": "IDF assessing damage from advanced missile strikes", "urls": [] }, "description": "Tenth wave; featured advanced Kheibar Shekan maneuvering missiles (MaRV-equipped, Mach 8, 500-1500kg warhead). IRGC stated it 'opened the great gates of fire upon the occupied territories.'", "reactions": { "idf": { "statement": null, "url": null }, "us_government": { "statement": null, "url": null }, "centcom": { "statement": null, "url": null } } }, { "operation": "tp4", "wave_number": 11, "wave_codename_farsi": null, "wave_codename_english": null, "timing": { "announced_utc": "2026-03-02T10:00:00Z", "announcement_source": "IRGC", "announcement_x_url": null, "probable_launch_time": "2026-03-02T09:30:00Z", "launch_time_israel": "2026-03-02T11:30:00+0200", "launch_time_iran": "2026-03-02T13:00:00+0330", "solar_phase_launch_site": 5, "solar_phase_target": 5, "conflict_day": 3, "hours_since_last_wave": 6.0, "time_between_waves_minutes": null, "wave_duration_minutes": null }, "weapons": { "payload": "Missiles, drones", "drones_used": true, "ballistic_missiles_used": true, "cruise_missiles_used": false, "types": { "emad_used": false, "ghadr_used": false, "sejjil_used": false, "kheibar_shekan_used": false, "fattah_used": false, "shahed_136_used": true, "shahed_238_used": false, "shahed_131_used": true, "shahed_107_used": null, "shahed_129_used": null, "mohajer_6_used": null }, "categories": { "bm_liquid_fueled": false, "bm_solid_fueled": false, "bm_marv_equipped": false, "bm_hypersonic": false } }, "targets": { "israel_targeted": true, "us_bases_targeted": true, "targets": "US intelligence centers and military support warehouses in Persian Gulf, Israeli army communications complex Beersheba, 20+ sites in Tel Aviv/West Jerusalem/Galilee; Paphos Airport Cyprus (evacuated); Akrotiri Cyprus (sirens); Aramco Ras Tanura Saudi Arabia (refinery fire); Qatar LNG facilities; Mina Salman port Bahrain; Duqm/Oman maritime targets; US-Jordanian embassy evacuated", "landings_countries": [ "IL", "KW", "BH", "AE", "CY", "SA", "QA", "JO", "OM" ], "israeli_locations": { "targeted_tel_aviv": true, "targeted_jerusalem": true, "targeted_haifa": false, "targeted_negev_beersheba": true, "targeted_northern_periphery": true, "targeted_eilat": false }, "us_bases": [ { "name": "Mina Salman Naval Base", "country_code": "BH" } ], "us_naval_vessels": [], "target_coordinates": { "lat": null, "lon": null } }, "launch_site": { "description": "Western Iran", "lat": null, "lon": null }, "interception": { "intercepted": null, "interception_systems": [], "intercepted_by": { "israel": null, "us": true, "uk": true, "jordan": false, "other": [] }, "estimated_intercept_count": null, "estimated_intercept_rate": null, "exoatmospheric_interception": null, "endoatmospheric_interception": true, "interception_report": null }, "munitions": { "estimated_munitions_count": null, "munitions_targeting_israel": null, "munitions_targeting_us_bases": null, "cumulative_total": null }, "impact": { "damage": "IRGC claims strikes on US intelligence centers, military support warehouses in Persian Gulf, Israeli army communications complex in Beersheba, 20+ points in Tel Aviv/West Jerusalem/Galilee", "fatalities": 0, "injuries": null, "civilian_casualties": null, "military_casualties": null }, "escalation": { "new_country_targeted": true, "new_weapon_first_use": false }, "proxy": { "involvement": false, "description": null }, "sources": { "idf_statement": null, "urls": [] }, "description": "Eleventh wave; naval and aerospace IRGC units. Targeted communications and intelligence infrastructure. IRGC claims 500 sites targeted in preceding 48 hours.", "reactions": { "idf": { "statement": null, "url": null }, "us_government": { "statement": null, "url": null }, "centcom": { "statement": null, "url": null } } }, { "operation": "tp4", "wave_number": 12, "wave_codename_farsi": null, "wave_codename_english": null, "timing": { "announced_utc": "2026-03-02T14:30:00Z", "announcement_source": "IRGC Navy", "announcement_x_url": null, "probable_launch_time": "2026-03-02T14:00:00Z", "launch_time_israel": "2026-03-02T16:00:00+0200", "launch_time_iran": "2026-03-02T17:30:00+0330", "solar_phase_launch_site": 5, "solar_phase_target": 5, "conflict_day": 3, "hours_since_last_wave": 4.5, "time_between_waves_minutes": null, "wave_duration_minutes": null }, "weapons": { "payload": "26 attack drones, 5 ballistic missiles", "drones_used": true, "ballistic_missiles_used": true, "cruise_missiles_used": false, "types": { "emad_used": false, "ghadr_used": false, "sejjil_used": false, "kheibar_shekan_used": false, "fattah_used": false, "shahed_136_used": true, "shahed_238_used": false, "shahed_131_used": true, "shahed_107_used": null, "shahed_129_used": null, "mohajer_6_used": null }, "categories": { "bm_liquid_fueled": false, "bm_solid_fueled": false, "bm_marv_equipped": false, "bm_hypersonic": false } }, "targets": { "israel_targeted": false, "us_bases_targeted": true, "targets": "US Arifjan base Kuwait, US Al Minhad command center UAE, US naval facilities Bahrain, fuel tanker Athens Nova in Strait of Hormuz; Port Fujairah UAE; Dubai UAE (ballistic missile); Sulaymaniyah Iraqi Kurdistan; Erbil Iraq", "landings_countries": [ "KW", "AE", "BH", "IO", "IQ" ], "israeli_locations": { "targeted_tel_aviv": false, "targeted_jerusalem": false, "targeted_haifa": false, "targeted_negev_beersheba": false, "targeted_northern_periphery": false, "targeted_eilat": false }, "us_bases": [ { "name": "Camp Arifjan", "country_code": "KW" }, { "name": "Al Minhad Air Base", "country_code": "AE" } ], "us_naval_vessels": [ { "name": "Athens Nova", "type": "Fuel tanker" } ], "target_coordinates": { "lat": null, "lon": null } }, "launch_site": { "description": "IRGC naval positions, western Iran", "lat": null, "lon": null }, "interception": { "intercepted": null, "interception_systems": [], "intercepted_by": { "israel": null, "us": false, "uk": true, "jordan": false, "other": [] }, "estimated_intercept_count": null, "estimated_intercept_rate": null, "exoatmospheric_interception": null, "endoatmospheric_interception": false, "interception_report": null }, "munitions": { "estimated_munitions_count": 31, "munitions_targeting_israel": null, "munitions_targeting_us_bases": 31, "cumulative_total": null }, "impact": { "damage": "IRGC Navy claims: Arifjan base Kuwait hit by 12 drones in two phases; Al Minhad base UAE hit by 6 drones and 5 ballistic missiles; US naval facilities Bahrain destroyed by 6 drones; fuel tanker Athens Nova in Strait of Hormuz struck by 2 drones and still burning.", "fatalities": 0, "injuries": null, "civilian_casualties": null, "military_casualties": null }, "escalation": { "new_country_targeted": false, "new_weapon_first_use": false }, "proxy": { "involvement": false, "description": null }, "sources": { "idf_statement": null, "urls": [] }, "description": "Twelfth wave; IRGC Navy-led maritime campaign. 26 drones and 5 ballistic missiles targeting US assets in three Gulf countries plus Strait of Hormuz maritime target.", "reactions": { "idf": { "statement": null, "url": null }, "us_government": { "statement": null, "url": null }, "centcom": { "statement": null, "url": null } } }, { "operation": "tp4", "wave_number": 13, "wave_codename_farsi": null, "wave_codename_english": null, "timing": { "announced_utc": "2026-03-02T19:00:00Z", "announcement_source": "IRGC Navy drone unit", "announcement_x_url": null, "probable_launch_time": "2026-03-02T18:30:00Z", "launch_time_israel": "2026-03-02T20:30:00+0200", "launch_time_iran": "2026-03-02T22:00:00+0330", "solar_phase_launch_site": 0, "solar_phase_target": 0, "conflict_day": 3, "hours_since_last_wave": 4.5, "time_between_waves_minutes": null, "wave_duration_minutes": null }, "weapons": { "payload": "UAVs/drones", "drones_used": true, "ballistic_missiles_used": false, "cruise_missiles_used": false, "types": { "emad_used": false, "ghadr_used": false, "sejjil_used": false, "kheibar_shekan_used": false, "fattah_used": false, "shahed_136_used": true, "shahed_238_used": false, "shahed_131_used": true, "shahed_107_used": null, "shahed_129_used": null, "mohajer_6_used": null }, "categories": { "bm_liquid_fueled": false, "bm_solid_fueled": false, "bm_marv_equipped": false, "bm_hypersonic": false } }, "targets": { "israel_targeted": false, "us_bases_targeted": true, "targets": "US Navy Marine base at Arifjan base Kuwait, Ali Al-Salim air base Kuwait", "landings_countries": [ "KW" ], "israeli_locations": { "targeted_tel_aviv": false, "targeted_jerusalem": false, "targeted_haifa": false, "targeted_negev_beersheba": false, "targeted_northern_periphery": false, "targeted_eilat": false }, "us_bases": [ { "name": "Camp Arifjan", "country_code": "KW" }, { "name": "Ali Al-Salem Air Base", "country_code": "KW" } ], "us_naval_vessels": [], "target_coordinates": { "lat": null, "lon": null } }, "launch_site": { "description": "IRGC positions", "lat": null, "lon": null }, "interception": { "intercepted": null, "interception_systems": [], "intercepted_by": { "israel": null, "us": false, "uk": true, "jordan": false, "other": [] }, "estimated_intercept_count": null, "estimated_intercept_rate": null, "exoatmospheric_interception": null, "endoatmospheric_interception": false, "interception_report": null }, "munitions": { "estimated_munitions_count": null, "munitions_targeting_israel": null, "munitions_targeting_us_bases": null, "cumulative_total": null }, "impact": { "damage": "IRGC claims strikes on US Marine Corps installations at Arifjan base Kuwait", "fatalities": 0, "injuries": null, "civilian_casualties": null, "military_casualties": null }, "escalation": { "new_country_targeted": false, "new_weapon_first_use": false }, "proxy": { "involvement": false, "description": null }, "sources": { "idf_statement": null, "urls": [] }, "description": "Thirteenth wave; IRGC Navy drone unit targeting Kuwaiti-based US Marine installations. Marked first clear indication of different IRGC branches coordinating successive waves under unified command.", "reactions": { "idf": { "statement": null, "url": null }, "us_government": { "statement": null, "url": null }, "centcom": { "statement": null, "url": null } } }, { "operation": "tp4", "wave_number": 14, "wave_codename_farsi": null, "wave_codename_english": null, "timing": { "announced_utc": "2026-03-03T02:00:00Z", "announcement_source": "IRGC Navy", "announcement_x_url": null, "probable_launch_time": "2026-03-03T01:30:00Z", "launch_time_israel": "2026-03-03T03:30:00+0200", "launch_time_iran": "2026-03-03T05:00:00+0330", "solar_phase_launch_site": 0, "solar_phase_target": 0, "conflict_day": 4, "hours_since_last_wave": 7.0, "time_between_waves_minutes": null, "wave_duration_minutes": null }, "weapons": { "payload": "20 drones, 3 ballistic missiles", "drones_used": true, "ballistic_missiles_used": true, "cruise_missiles_used": false, "types": { "emad_used": false, "ghadr_used": false, "sejjil_used": false, "kheibar_shekan_used": false, "fattah_used": false, "shahed_136_used": true, "shahed_238_used": false, "shahed_131_used": true, "shahed_107_used": null, "shahed_129_used": null, "mohajer_6_used": null }, "categories": { "bm_liquid_fueled": false, "bm_solid_fueled": false, "bm_marv_equipped": false, "bm_hypersonic": false } }, "targets": { "israel_targeted": false, "us_bases_targeted": true, "targets": "US air base Sheikh Isa area Bahrain; US embassy Riyadh Saudi Arabia (2 drones, fire); CIA headquarters Riyadh (drone hit); Saudi Arabia downed 9 drones", "landings_countries": [ "BH", "SA" ], "israeli_locations": { "targeted_tel_aviv": false, "targeted_jerusalem": false, "targeted_haifa": false, "targeted_negev_beersheba": false, "targeted_northern_periphery": false, "targeted_eilat": false }, "us_bases": [ { "name": "Sheikh Isa Air Base", "country_code": "BH" } ], "us_naval_vessels": [], "target_coordinates": { "lat": null, "lon": null } }, "launch_site": { "description": "IRGC naval positions", "lat": null, "lon": null }, "interception": { "intercepted": null, "interception_systems": [], "intercepted_by": { "israel": null, "us": false, "uk": true, "jordan": false, "other": [] }, "estimated_intercept_count": null, "estimated_intercept_rate": null, "exoatmospheric_interception": null, "endoatmospheric_interception": false, "interception_report": null }, "munitions": { "estimated_munitions_count": 23, "munitions_targeting_israel": null, "munitions_targeting_us_bases": 23, "cumulative_total": null }, "impact": { "damage": "IRGC claims main command building and HQ of US air base destroyed; fuel tanks set on fire. 20 drones and 3 missiles claimed to have hit targets.", "fatalities": 0, "injuries": null, "civilian_casualties": null, "military_casualties": null }, "escalation": { "new_country_targeted": false, "new_weapon_first_use": false }, "proxy": { "involvement": false, "description": null }, "sources": { "idf_statement": null, "urls": [] }, "description": "Fourteenth wave; IRGC Navy large-scale attack on US air base in Bahrain with drones and missiles.", "reactions": { "idf": { "statement": null, "url": null }, "us_government": { "statement": null, "url": null }, "centcom": { "statement": null, "url": null } } }, { "operation": "tp4", "wave_number": 15, "wave_codename_farsi": null, "wave_codename_english": null, "timing": { "announced_utc": "2026-03-03T16:00:00Z", "announcement_source": "IRGC", "announcement_x_url": null, "probable_launch_time": "2026-03-03T15:30:00Z", "launch_time_israel": "2026-03-03T17:30:00+0200", "launch_time_iran": "2026-03-03T19:00:00+0330", "solar_phase_launch_site": 2, "solar_phase_target": 4, "conflict_day": 4, "hours_since_last_wave": 14.0, "time_between_waves_minutes": null, "wave_duration_minutes": null }, "weapons": { "payload": "Missiles, drones", "drones_used": true, "ballistic_missiles_used": true, "cruise_missiles_used": false, "types": { "emad_used": false, "ghadr_used": false, "sejjil_used": false, "kheibar_shekan_used": false, "fattah_used": false, "shahed_136_used": true, "shahed_238_used": false, "shahed_131_used": true, "shahed_107_used": null, "shahed_129_used": null, "mohajer_6_used": null }, "categories": { "bm_liquid_fueled": false, "bm_solid_fueled": false, "bm_marv_equipped": false, "bm_hypersonic": false } }, "targets": { "israel_targeted": true, "us_bases_targeted": true, "targets": "Al-Udeid Air Base Qatar, Israeli positions; US Consulate Al Seef Dubai (drones, fire); Fujairah Oil Industry Zone UAE; Hamad International Airport Qatar (intercepted); AWS facilities UAE and Bahrain", "landings_countries": [ "IL", "QA", "AE", "SA", "BH" ], "israeli_locations": { "targeted_tel_aviv": true, "targeted_jerusalem": false, "targeted_haifa": false, "targeted_negev_beersheba": false, "targeted_northern_periphery": false, "targeted_eilat": false }, "us_bases": [ { "name": "Sheikh Isa Air Base", "country_code": "BH" }, { "name": "Al-Udeid Air Base", "country_code": "QA" } ], "us_naval_vessels": [], "target_coordinates": { "lat": null, "lon": null } }, "launch_site": { "description": null, "lat": null, "lon": null }, "interception": { "intercepted": null, "interception_systems": [], "intercepted_by": { "israel": true, "us": null, "uk": true, "jordan": true, "other": [] }, "estimated_intercept_count": null, "estimated_intercept_rate": null, "exoatmospheric_interception": null, "endoatmospheric_interception": null, "interception_report": null }, "munitions": { "estimated_munitions_count": null, "munitions_targeting_israel": null, "munitions_targeting_us_bases": null, "cumulative_total": null }, "impact": { "damage": "Strikes on Al-Udeid Air Base Qatar and Israeli positions. IRGC claims 7 Israeli drones shot down (Hermes, Heron, MQ-9). Fragmentation warhead detonation in Petah Tikva causing blast damage and injuries.", "fatalities": 0, "injuries": null, "civilian_casualties": null, "military_casualties": null }, "escalation": { "new_country_targeted": false, "new_weapon_first_use": false }, "proxy": { "involvement": false, "description": null }, "sources": { "idf_statement": null, "urls": [] }, "description": "Fifteenth wave; continued geographic expansion. Also targeted 10 key points at Sheikh Isa Air Base Bahrain. Air raid sirens in central Israel. IRGC claims to have shot down 7 Israeli drones.", "reactions": { "idf": { "statement": null, "url": null }, "us_government": { "statement": null, "url": null }, "centcom": { "statement": null, "url": null } } }, { "operation": "tp4", "wave_number": 16, "wave_codename_farsi": null, "wave_codename_english": null, "timing": { "announced_utc": "2026-03-04T06:00:00Z", "announcement_source": "IRGC", "announcement_x_url": null, "probable_launch_time": "2026-03-04T05:30:00Z", "launch_time_israel": "2026-03-04T07:30:00+0200", "launch_time_iran": "2026-03-04T09:00:00+0330", "solar_phase_launch_site": 5, "solar_phase_target": 5, "conflict_day": 5, "hours_since_last_wave": 14.0, "time_between_waves_minutes": 32.09, "wave_duration_minutes": null }, "weapons": { "payload": "230 attack drones, missiles", "drones_used": true, "ballistic_missiles_used": true, "cruise_missiles_used": false, "types": { "emad_used": false, "ghadr_used": false, "sejjil_used": false, "kheibar_shekan_used": false, "fattah_used": false, "shahed_136_used": true, "shahed_238_used": false, "shahed_131_used": true, "shahed_107_used": null, "shahed_129_used": null, "mohajer_6_used": null }, "categories": { "bm_liquid_fueled": false, "bm_solid_fueled": false, "bm_marv_equipped": false, "bm_hypersonic": false } }, "targets": { "israel_targeted": true, "us_bases_targeted": true, "targets": "HaKirya (IDF general staff and Ministry of War) Tel Aviv, strategic infrastructure Bnei Brak, military targets Beit Hakfa; Kuwait, Iraq, Saudi Arabia, UAE (hundreds of drones); Greek F-16s intercept Shahed drones near Cyprus; Turkish air defences intercept missiles over Hatay", "landings_countries": [ "IL", "KW", "IQ", "SA", "AE", "CY", "TR" ], "israeli_locations": { "targeted_tel_aviv": true, "targeted_jerusalem": false, "targeted_haifa": false, "targeted_negev_beersheba": false, "targeted_northern_periphery": true, "targeted_eilat": false }, "us_bases": [], "us_naval_vessels": [], "target_coordinates": { "lat": null, "lon": null } }, "launch_site": { "description": "Western Iran, IRGC ground force positions", "lat": null, "lon": null }, "interception": { "intercepted": null, "interception_systems": [ "TRUE" ], "intercepted_by": { "israel": null, "us": true, "uk": true, "jordan": false, "other": [ "FALSE" ] }, "estimated_intercept_count": null, "estimated_intercept_rate": null, "exoatmospheric_interception": null, "endoatmospheric_interception": true, "interception_report": "TRUE" }, "munitions": { "estimated_munitions_count": null, "munitions_targeting_israel": 230, "munitions_targeting_us_bases": 230, "cumulative_total": 35 }, "impact": { "damage": "IRGC claims strikes on HaKirya (IDF general staff and Ministry of War), strategic infrastructure in Bnei Brak, military targets in Beit Hakfa", "fatalities": 0, "injuries": null, "civilian_casualties": 0, "military_casualties": null }, "escalation": { "new_country_targeted": false, "new_weapon_first_use": false }, "proxy": { "involvement": null, "description": "FALSE" }, "sources": { "idf_statement": "34.78", "urls": [] }, "description": "Sixteenth wave; critical shift - IRGC Ground Forces entered the battlefield with three simultaneous operations and 230 attack drones. Multi-domain offensive. Aerospace Division also struck 'heart and northern parts of occupied territories.'", "reactions": { "idf": { "statement": null, "url": null }, "us_government": { "statement": null, "url": null }, "centcom": { "statement": null, "url": null } } }, { "operation": "tp4", "wave_number": 17, "wave_codename_farsi": "مقدس: یا رسول الله", "wave_codename_english": "Sacred: O Messenger of Allah", "timing": { "announced_utc": "2026-03-04T09:00:00Z", "announcement_source": "IRGC Aerospace Force / Tasnim News Agency", "announcement_x_url": null, "probable_launch_time": "2026-03-04T08:30:00Z", "launch_time_israel": "2026-03-04T10:30:00+0200", "launch_time_iran": "2026-03-04T12:00:00+0330", "solar_phase_launch_site": 5, "solar_phase_target": 5, "conflict_day": 5, "hours_since_last_wave": 3.0, "time_between_waves_minutes": null, "wave_duration_minutes": null }, "weapons": { "payload": "40+ ballistic missiles", "drones_used": false, "ballistic_missiles_used": true, "cruise_missiles_used": false, "types": { "emad_used": false, "ghadr_used": false, "sejjil_used": false, "kheibar_shekan_used": false, "fattah_used": false, "shahed_136_used": false, "shahed_238_used": false, "shahed_131_used": null, "shahed_107_used": null, "shahed_129_used": null, "mohajer_6_used": null }, "categories": { "bm_liquid_fueled": false, "bm_solid_fueled": false, "bm_marv_equipped": false, "bm_hypersonic": false } }, "targets": { "israel_targeted": true, "us_bases_targeted": true, "targets": "American and Israeli targets", "landings_countries": [ "IL" ], "israeli_locations": { "targeted_tel_aviv": false, "targeted_jerusalem": false, "targeted_haifa": false, "targeted_negev_beersheba": false, "targeted_northern_periphery": false, "targeted_eilat": false }, "us_bases": [], "us_naval_vessels": [], "target_coordinates": { "lat": null, "lon": null } }, "launch_site": { "description": "Central/western Iran", "lat": null, "lon": null }, "interception": { "intercepted": null, "interception_systems": [ "TRUE" ], "intercepted_by": { "israel": null, "us": true, "uk": true, "jordan": false, "other": [ "FALSE" ] }, "estimated_intercept_count": null, "estimated_intercept_rate": null, "exoatmospheric_interception": null, "endoatmospheric_interception": true, "interception_report": "TRUE" }, "munitions": { "estimated_munitions_count": null, "munitions_targeting_israel": 40, "munitions_targeting_us_bases": null, "cumulative_total": 35 }, "impact": { "damage": null, "fatalities": 0, "injuries": null, "civilian_casualties": null, "military_casualties": null }, "escalation": { "new_country_targeted": false, "new_weapon_first_use": false }, "proxy": { "involvement": null, "description": "FALSE" }, "sources": { "idf_statement": null, "urls": [] }, "description": "Seventeenth wave; codename 'Sacred: O Messenger of Allah.' 40+ ballistic missiles fired by IRGC Aerospace Force. Religious-nationalist messaging increasingly prominent.", "reactions": { "idf": { "statement": null, "url": null }, "us_government": { "statement": null, "url": null }, "centcom": { "statement": null, "url": null } } }, { "operation": "tp4", "wave_number": 18, "wave_codename_farsi": "یا امام حسن مجتبی", "wave_codename_english": "Ya Imam Hassan Mojtaba", "timing": { "announced_utc": null, "announcement_source": "IRGC", "announcement_x_url": null, "probable_launch_time": null, "launch_time_israel": null, "launch_time_iran": null, "solar_phase_launch_site": null, "solar_phase_target": null, "conflict_day": 5, "hours_since_last_wave": null, "time_between_waves_minutes": null, "wave_duration_minutes": null }, "weapons": { "payload": "Ghadr-class ballistic missiles", "drones_used": null, "ballistic_missiles_used": true, "cruise_missiles_used": null, "types": { "emad_used": null, "ghadr_used": true, "sejjil_used": null, "kheibar_shekan_used": null, "fattah_used": null, "shahed_136_used": null, "shahed_238_used": null, "shahed_131_used": null, "shahed_107_used": null, "shahed_129_used": null, "mohajer_6_used": null }, "categories": { "bm_liquid_fueled": true, "bm_solid_fueled": false, "bm_marv_equipped": false, "bm_hypersonic": false } }, "targets": { "israel_targeted": null, "us_bases_targeted": null, "targets": null, "landings_countries": [], "israeli_locations": { "targeted_tel_aviv": null, "targeted_jerusalem": null, "targeted_haifa": null, "targeted_negev_beersheba": null, "targeted_northern_periphery": null, "targeted_eilat": null }, "us_bases": [], "us_naval_vessels": [], "target_coordinates": { "lat": null, "lon": null } }, "launch_site": { "description": null, "lat": null, "lon": null }, "interception": { "intercepted": null, "interception_systems": [], "intercepted_by": { "israel": null, "us": null, "uk": null, "jordan": null, "other": [] }, "estimated_intercept_count": null, "estimated_intercept_rate": null, "exoatmospheric_interception": null, "endoatmospheric_interception": null, "interception_report": null }, "munitions": { "estimated_munitions_count": null, "munitions_targeting_israel": null, "munitions_targeting_us_bases": null, "cumulative_total": null }, "impact": { "damage": null, "fatalities": null, "injuries": null, "civilian_casualties": null, "military_casualties": null }, "escalation": { "new_country_targeted": null, "new_weapon_first_use": null }, "proxy": { "involvement": null, "description": null }, "sources": { "idf_statement": null, "urls": [ "https://x.com/MalikAliiRaza", "https://x.com/iwasnevrhere_" ] }, "description": "Eighteenth wave; codename references Imam Hassan Mojtaba in celebration of his holy birthday. Ghadr-class ballistic missiles confirmed launched by IRGC.", "reactions": { "idf": { "statement": null, "url": null }, "us_government": { "statement": null, "url": null }, "centcom": { "statement": null, "url": null } } }, { "operation": "tp4", "wave_number": 19, "wave_codename_farsi": "یا حسن بن علی علیه السلام", "wave_codename_english": "Ya Hassan ibn Ali (peace be upon him)", "timing": { "announced_utc": "2026-03-05T06:00:00Z", "announcement_source": "IRGC Public Relations", "announcement_x_url": null, "probable_launch_time": "2026-03-05T05:30:00Z", "launch_time_israel": "2026-03-05T07:30:00+0200", "launch_time_iran": "2026-03-05T09:00:00+0330", "solar_phase_launch_site": 5, "solar_phase_target": 5, "conflict_day": 6, "hours_since_last_wave": null, "time_between_waves_minutes": null, "wave_duration_minutes": null }, "weapons": { "payload": "Khorramshahr-4 ballistic missiles (1-ton warheads), explosive drones", "drones_used": true, "ballistic_missiles_used": true, "cruise_missiles_used": false, "types": { "emad_used": null, "ghadr_used": null, "sejjil_used": null, "kheibar_shekan_used": null, "fattah_used": null, "shahed_136_used": null, "shahed_238_used": null, "shahed_131_used": null, "shahed_107_used": null, "shahed_129_used": null, "mohajer_6_used": null }, "categories": { "bm_liquid_fueled": true, "bm_solid_fueled": false, "bm_marv_equipped": false, "bm_hypersonic": false } }, "targets": { "israel_targeted": true, "us_bases_targeted": true, "targets": "Israeli Defense Ministry complex Tel Aviv, Ben Gurion Airport, Jerusalem; US military positions in Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar; USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN-72); Amazon data center Bahrain", "landings_countries": [ "IL", "KW", "BH", "QA" ], "israeli_locations": { "targeted_tel_aviv": true, "targeted_jerusalem": true, "targeted_haifa": false, "targeted_negev_beersheba": false, "targeted_northern_periphery": false, "targeted_eilat": false }, "us_bases": [ { "name": "US military positions Kuwait", "country_code": "KW" }, { "name": "US military positions Bahrain", "country_code": "BH" }, { "name": "US military positions Qatar", "country_code": "QA" } ], "us_naval_vessels": [ { "name": "USS Abraham Lincoln", "hull_number": "CVN-72", "type": "aircraft carrier" } ], "target_coordinates": { "lat": null, "lon": null } }, "launch_site": { "description": null, "lat": null, "lon": null }, "interception": { "intercepted": true, "interception_systems": [ "THAAD", "Iron Dome" ], "intercepted_by": { "israel": true, "us": true, "uk": null, "jordan": null, "other": [] }, "estimated_intercept_count": null, "estimated_intercept_rate": null, "exoatmospheric_interception": null, "endoatmospheric_interception": true, "interception_report": "IDF reports all overnight ballistic missiles intercepted; one morning missile struck open area in central town" }, "munitions": { "estimated_munitions_count": null, "munitions_targeting_israel": null, "munitions_targeting_us_bases": null, "cumulative_total": null }, "impact": { "damage": "IRGC claims strikes on Israeli Defense Ministry Tel Aviv, Ben Gurion Airport, 7+ US/Israeli radar systems destroyed. One missile struck open area in central Israel. Amazon facility Bahrain allegedly suffered extensive damage.", "fatalities": 0, "injuries": 0, "civilian_casualties": 0, "military_casualties": null }, "escalation": { "new_country_targeted": false, "new_weapon_first_use": true }, "proxy": { "involvement": null, "description": null }, "sources": { "idf_statement": null, "urls": [ "https://www.tribuneindia.com/news/irgc/irgc-launches-19th-wave-of-operation-true-promise-4-says-operation-against-american-zionist-terrorists", "https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog-march-05-2026/" ] }, "description": "Nineteenth wave; codename 'Ya Hassan ibn Ali.' Combined missile and drone operation using Khorramshahr-4 ballistic missiles with 1-ton warheads. IRGC claims bypassed THAAD and struck Israeli Defense Ministry and Ben Gurion Airport. Also targeted USS Abraham Lincoln and Amazon data center in Bahrain. IDF reports most missiles intercepted; no casualties.", "reactions": { "idf": { "statement": "IDF detected ballistic missile fire from Iran; sirens sounded across central Israel including Jerusalem. Six ballistic missiles and 125 drones intercepted. One missile struck open area in central town, no injuries.", "url": "https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog-march-05-2026/" }, "us_government": { "statement": null, "url": null }, "centcom": { "statement": "Operation Epic Fury is laser-focused on destroying Iranian offensive missiles. The Iranian regime is using mobile launchers to indiscriminately fire missiles. U.S. forces are hunting these threats down and taking them out.", "url": "https://www.centcom.mil/MEDIA/PRESS-RELEASES/" } } } ] }